Kajian FCPO dari kaca mata General Manager, Manager dan Supervisor.Arahan dari CEO!

Berikut adalah kajian Teknikal Analisis saya akan harga pasaran hadapan minyak sawit mentah Malaysia...ingat Pasaran hadapan bukan cerita sekerang tapi cerita masa hadapan. Oleh sebab itulah kontraknya adalah Feb ataupun March 2013.

Kenapa suka teknikal analisis? kerana teknikal analisis menceritakan Fundamental tetapi fundamental tidak menceritakan teknikal...Haa...ada faham ka? Ini adalah soalan bagi orang-orang yang bertanya samaada saya mengkaji pasaran saham mahupun hadapan menggunakan Teknikal atau Fundamental?
jawapan lebih tepat adalah:- Semua perkara didunia ini ada harga yang menjustifikasikan maklumat fundamental. Jika barang bagus dan berkualiti maka mahal harganya dan jika tidak berkualiti atau ada berita yang 'negatif' maka harga nya akan murah ataupun turun.
Oleh yang demikian dengan mengkaji teknikal analisis yang mana bahan utamanya adalah harga, adalah lebih baik dari mengkaji Fundamental Analisis. Pendek cerita,mengkaji harga melalui teknikal analisis boleh membayangkan apa perkara yang sedang atau bakal berlaku pada Fundamental sesuatu aset ataupun komoditi.

Berikut adalah kajian Komoditi Minyak Sawit Malaysia berdasarkan kajian Pasaran Hadapan Minyak Sawit Mentah Malaysia bagi beberapa minggu mendatang.(Feb 2013)
Pandangan dari kaca mata General Manager- Weekly Chart

Kesimpulan:Berdasarkan kepada Kajian di Diary Invest FCPO,Trend masih lagi turun tetapi berkemungkinan Trend turun sudah hampir kepada Penamatnya.Ini disokong oleh divergence pada MACD dan Storsi yang sudah seimbang dengan Ratio 20:35.Cci juga sudah kata habis Short!. Ada sesuatu yang menarik pada RSI yang berkemungkinan ada ‘pressure up’ untuk menyokong Gap up pada migggu hadapan yang mana adalahMinggu Pentinguntuk Melihat sesiapa yag holding Long semakin tersenyum!.. (* pintu kemasan Long Mesti tidak boleh harga sekrang 2429 turun semula 2360!.Bawah 2360 harga sudah lembik utk naik dengan paras sokongan cerucuk kuat pada 2300.Bawah ini trend turun berterusan dan last kopek punya pintu kecemasan adalah terendah 2220 yang lepas!)Target FCPO Feb 2013 mampu ke paras 2495-2500 dari harga sekarang 2429 dengan syarat pecahkan dahulu 2445 dan 2480. Jika pecah 2500 harga akan masuk gear 3 ke 2600 dan disana mungkin ada mini mega resistant. Jika pecah bukan mustahil harga terbabas seketika 2700-2750.
 Pandangan dari kaca mata : Manager Biasa
Kesimpulan: Berdasarkan Diary Invest FCPO, Majoriti  menunjukkan signal SHORT yang sudah sampai ke penghujungnya dengan kekuatan untuk LONG semakin ada.Ini digambarkan pada MACD yang terang-terang divergence dengan Ratio Storsi adalah 43:45.Terdapat juga divergence pada RSI.Buat masa sekarang SHORT dijangka tidak Sesuai dengan LONG adalah pilihan terbaik dengan target terdekat 2433-2463-2495.dari harga sekarang 2429.Sokongan pada2417 - 2400. Trend masih Sideways dengan potensi kenaikan yang amat tinggi. Cari the  best entry untuk LONG sahaja selagi 2360 dan 2300 tidak pecah sampai hujung minggu.*Minggu depan adalah minggu penting!
 Pandangan dari kaca mata Supervisor dan pekerja biasa.
Kesimpulan:Seperti dijangka, 60minit Chart akan menunjukkan lebih banyak SIGNAL LONG dengan kekuatan untuk trending itu ada seperti digambarkan pada MACD yang sudah berada pada atas ‘0’ dan  GZC yang cun berdoji! Jika harga naik bermakna TURBO pada DMI akan terbuka semula dan CCI pastinya diatas 100!. Target kenaikan  dari harga sekarang 2425 adalah pada 2440 dan seterusnya pada 2462 dan bukan mustahil mencecah 2495!. Sokongan bagi yang aggressive untuk LONG adalah pada 2396 dan agak kritikal pada 2384!.
* cari   the best entry ketikasenyapdengan posisi LONG dengan target holding 2600 !

Saya lebih suka bekas peserta Klinik FCPO saya baca 'seketul-seketul' akan kesimpulan kajian diatas.Kerana itulah yang paling baik bagi anda memahami message yang hendak disampaikan.

Sekian,
Zamsaham di FCPO 17 NOv 2012
Pusat Tuisyen Saham,JB
# dapatkan info harian hendak LONG ataupun SHORT di facebook tertutup saya di zamsaham FKLI& FCPO Trader 

  

74 comments:

kajian ini hari naik dengan GAP UP tepat 100%!...

November 19, 2012 at 11:23 PM comment-delete

jumaat closed 2429 dan open 2472..closed steady up 30mata..

November 19, 2012 at 11:24 PM comment-delete

Celah mana ko ckp ade Gap Up dalan "kajian" tu? Tak nampak pun.

ZamGlemer
November 28, 2012 at 7:36 AM comment-delete

Nampaknya, lepas post ni di-update, market tros turun. Anda mmg suka long di pucuk ke? Bagus la bg contoh diri sendiri

PelaburEnsem
November 28, 2012 at 7:38 AM comment-delete

pening ak tgk kajian camni...

Ano
December 3, 2012 at 11:41 PM comment-delete

Apesal dh tak update kajian? Price dh jatuh banyak ker? Hihihi..."migggu hadapan yang mana adalah “Minggu Penting’ untuk Melihat sesiapa yag holding Long semakin tersenyum!" Makin tersenyum atau makin menangis??

Macam mana nk join bengkel saham and "Berani invest FCPO 2013" macam nie??
Harga promosi pon mcm x promosi dah :)

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